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2023 Updated In-Season Projections 2022 600 PA / 200 IP Projections Steamer600. Heyward, a .211-hitter in 2021 and 2022, made significant swing changes over the winter. Cubs To Release Jason Heyward At End Of Season Interestingly, although Heyward swung less frequently than in any season since his 2010 debut, he finished with a 10.3% walk rate thats below his career average and set a new personal low for pitches per plate appearance. Sadly, the only skill that Heyward hasnt displayed during his bright, brief career is health. FanGraphs gives fans, front offices a look at the sport's evolution He will split time with utility player Chris Taylor, who started at shortstop against Texas on Wednesday. This production is, quite frankly, incredible. Jason Heyward - Bleacher Report Theres a pretty good distribution of balls around the field. Jason Heyward graphs for Major League baseball. . Dodgers vs. Angels game thread - True Blue LA Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Since Heyward is also the tallest of the four young outfielders at six-foot-five, we have reason to be worried about how long this can hold up for him. Even if Heyward were to hit for more power, that might be offset by a drop in singles, or by an increase in strikeouts. This is how it usually works with increases in pulled grounders: Its a consequence of taking a more power-centric approach. Latest News/Blog Posts about Jason Heyward. This figure is not a conclusory number or necessarily the best way for projections, but simply another method in the attempt to find a likely value for Jason Heyward. I think thats in the ballpark. Gift a Membership. Here is how they performed over their next ten seasons. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted The group also has five players at the top who were tremendous successes. Jason Heyward Reality Check | FanGraphs Membership Maybe you heard that some guy named Jason Heyward made the Atlanta Braves' Opening Day roster. From BIS, Heyward had the highest range numbers in the business. This spring, Heyward has hit 17 grounders, and hes pulled all but one of them. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, by Handedness, 2007 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 14, Overall: 14, Team: Atlanta Braves. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman. FanGraphs Shirts. Believe it or not, on a team with Chipper Jones, Brian McCann, Freddie Freeman, and Martin Prado, Bourn was tied with Jason Heyward with the most fWAR for position players on the Atlanta Braves. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. I cant wait to see how this turns out. Its not that he cant hit the ball out to all fields, but his career-best homer rate is to the pull side. The chart below shows the varying WAR averages from above for Jason Heyward comps at age-26 through age-30, as well as 26-35. by Retrosheet. Hitters might not want to hear this, but Phillies ace Zack Wheeler just added another pitch to his arsenal. Jason Heyward CF B/T: L/L 6' 5" 240LBS Age: 33 Draft: 2007 Rd: 1, #14, Atlanta Braves Henry County (GA) HS Player Apps Pitch Highlighter Player Similarity Shifts Swing Take Profile illustrator Zone Swing Profile Player Comparison Transaction History Show Random Video Stats Statcast Standard Splits Game Logs MLB Minors Batting Fielding Visuals UZRs range component agrees. Dodgers outfielder Jason Heyward had glowing praise for manager Dave Roberts, whom he calls a "baseball rat" who loves being around the game. Efficiency. He has been a well above-average hitter in the majors at an age when most players are in a short-season league, A-Ball or college. by Retrosheet. Whatever the name, it might become a problem for them. Looking at the numbers from 26 to 30 in each group, it is. Lacking in top shelf power, Heyward still provided solid numbers on offense, and after a disappointing start with he Cardinals, he hit .306/.375/.455 with a wRC+ of 130 from the beginning of May to the end of the season. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. 2022 Updated In-Season Projections After a 27 homer and 21 steal campaign and the fact that After a 27 homer and 21 steal campaign and the fact that Justin Upton was acquired to hit directly by Handedness. Heyward, as you know, is left-handed, and here is where he hit baseballs between 2014 2015: I dont know what, if anything, stands out right away. He hit 27 home runs in 2012, but recorded just 13 of them this year along with an isolated slugging percentage of .146, essentially league average. Hes still really young Looking at the numbers from 26 to 30 in each group, it is understandable why Heywards agents would seek an opt-out clause within the first five years. Players who rove around the outfield will qualify at the specific outfield position where he played the most innings provided it was a minimum of 75 percent (475 innings) of total innings at the specific position. And Heywards 57 percent ground ball rate places him among lightweights like Alexi Casilla, Kosuke Fukudome and Elvis Andrus. Contract: 8 yr, $184M (2016-23) AAV: $23.0M. Bill James: .269/.374/.457, 21 HR While those deals might no look great now, age is a major factor. His BABIP this season is .256, while his expected BABIP sits around .315. Perhaps its fitting, if random, that Heywards most recent highlights on MLB.com are all home-run-saving catches. Keep looking at him, and also keep looking at his numbers, as the season begins and wears on. Career statistics and player information from MLB, or ESPN, or Baseball Reference, or Fangraphs, or . His 23 percent infield/fly ball rate is third-highest in the majors, trailing only Corey Patterson and Mark Trumbo. Heyward was coming off a rookie season in which he popped 18 home runs and batted .277/.393/.456 at age 20, tying him with Ty Cobb for the Jason Heyward is good | The Hardball Times - tht.fangraphs.com All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. While Heyward did fall into some bad habits at the plate last year and has some durability concerns, this is a perfect time to buy low on a youthful outfielder with superstar potential. Because, even if he did it from the corner outfield, Heyward was able to emulate the Angelic newcomer in a way. The above comparison paints an incredibly optimistic and rosy view of Heywards future, but there is some evidence to suggest that phenoms like Heyward age better than the rest of the population. Even with the extra outside swings, pop ups and grounders, Heyward was likely the victim of some bad bounces. Ultimate Foul Balls - Jason Heyward - Ottoneu Fantasy Baseball All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Now, just two years later, weve got Mike Trout and Bryce Harper one-upping them. But for now, we can revel in the fact that Jason Heyward, yeah he does a pretty good Mike Trout impression. dodgersnation.com - Jeff Snider 10h Read more on dodgersnation.com Advanced fielding statistics Ultimate Zone Rating (. But thats never safe against a hitter like Betts, who launched it deep over the left-center-field wall at Surprise Stadium. Is Jason Heyward Being Properly Valued? | RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. The shift movement had already produced some . Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors The last qualifier hurt more than helped Heyward, as Barry Bonds and Adrian Beltre were removed from the list. I was just saying the other day that there hasnt been a free agent whos so valuable in this particular waya combination of very good performance and youthsince A-Rod in 2000. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors Given his decent wheels, it seems highly unlikely that Heyward will continue to keep company with players who run like they have grand pianos strapped to their backs. The Royals, Billy Butler, and Young Pitching. De Paula hit .350/.448/.522 with 13 doubles, five home runs, and two triples in 53 games in the Dominican Summer League in his professional debut, and the power was intriguing enough that FanGraphs wasn't alone on an island. There are two graphs below estimating the value of Heywards comps over the next ten years. Granted, we cant just assume that Heyward will stay healthy from here on out (he had a thumb injury as a rookie and had some minor hip and shin ailments before that), but those are conservative projections if he does come to camp with a mended shoulder. For a big man, he can run a little and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Indiana State vs Bradley MVC Tournament odds, tips and betting trends. Jason Heyward Positions: Rightfielder, Centerfielder and Leftfielder Bats: Left Throws: Left 6-5 , 240lb (196cm, 108kg) Born: August 9, 1989 (Age: 33-206d) in Ridgewood, NJ us More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 1x All-Star 2016 World Series 5x Gold Glove Wilson Overall Def Player 22 22 22 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. His work for Inside Edge Scouting Services has appeared on ESPN.com and Yahoo.com, and he was a fantasy baseball columnist for Rotoworld from 2009-2010. FanGraphs Mugs. Then, showing off the kind of speed unexpected from a 6-foot-5, 250-pounder, Walker beat out a dribbler to third for an infield single. The Weakest Positions on National League Contenders So I was like, Im just gonna kind of throw it at him down the middle. And he hit it out. Reported as the pre-2023 season number of waiver options remaining. He has played in Major League Baseball (MLB) for the Atlanta Braves, St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs. Limiting Heyward comps solely to free agents leaves little by way of realistic comparison. sent RF Jason Heyward on a rehab assignment to Gwinnett Braves. Heres a powerful triple to center. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors The Pirates suggested that Oviedo begin throwing a sinker because his four-seam fastball naturally sinks. Jason Heyward Powers Down | RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball News; Wikipedia: . Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. SUMMARY But even so, it seems like he has endured some bad luck on balls put in play. Looking solely at defense, these are the types of players who compare with Heyward. Now, Heyward has an extended history of making various adjustments underneath, he hasnt been that static. Averaging out to a league average player for a total of ten years is a decent feat. Bill James He was 97-98 [mph], but I dont think that was the most interesting part of the outing. Thompson revived his career in Los Angeles last summer, hitting 13 homers with a .901 OPS. Players are always free to change their minds about anything. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Reported as the pre-2023 season number of waiver options remaining. 'Weird cat': Dodgers' Tony Gonsolin reveals hilarious opinion of Noah His work for Inside Edge Scouting Services has appeared on ESPN.com and Yahoo.com, and he was a fantasy baseball columnist for Rotoworld from 2009-2010. The No. There are few who doubt that, after finishing up his sixth season in Major League Baseball, Jason Heyward is a good player. 2022 600 PA / 200 IP Projections Steamer600. They were like, Why are you not throwing it with a [sinker] grip and try to get used to it and learn how to throw it?. Jason Heyward posts cryptic Instagram message about Cubs future - MSN Swinging at more off-the-plate pitches, hitting the ball up the elevator shaft, smacking ground balls like a slap-hitting middle infielder none of these are good things. by Retrosheet. The WAR group, which constitutes the group most closely approximating the quality of the player Jason Heyward is currently, puts Heyward on a Hall of Fame track. . Ellsbury, now 32, has been worth 21 wins since turning 26 while Crawford, 34, has been worth 22 wins over the last eight seasons. Currently, Yahoo! But in the previous five years, he had bounced between eight different organizations, unable to find his footing in the majors before an opportunity arose with the Dodgers. The 2023 series on team offense continues with the New York Yankees. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. . Signup . All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors As was the case with the offensive player-comps group, Heyward is more accomplished than almost all of the players on this list. ESPN rated the oufielder 11th in the system, Baseball America had him 12th, and The Athletic rated De Paula 18th. That should tell you all you need to know about the Blue Jays plans for their fourth outfield spot, and this assignment is something he plans to grab with both hands. However, if we want some sort of hybrid, we can look at the declines of the offensive comps and the defensive comps and combine them. With an acknowledgment to the variance in sample size, we can compare the pitch locations of his 2014 against his first four big league seasons: As you might have guessed, thats bad news for Heyward, who, like many left-handed hitters, does his best work when hes able to feast on balls down and in. Contracts matter Miller is entering his first year of arbitration while Heyward is now a FA. As such, its hard to decide what to make of Heywards 2014 season, in which he finished 34th among outfielders in Zach Sanders rankings, as he made strides as a contact hitter while taking a step back in the power department. Forget about everything else. Watch as both teams attempt to take one step closer to . But as far as I believe, batted-ball distributions arent as noisy as, say, BABIP. by Retrosheet. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. by Retrosheet. Teams should, and likely do, look at adding years to a contract as spreading out money over a longer time period rather than seeking an extra year of value. It would be a tragedy if nagging injuries keep him from playing to his full potential. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Everything that could go wrong did, yet he held his own at age 21. If Heyward had one or two games where he hit everything the other way, that would make this look way different, and thats why its too early to say anything. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Rojas, a 34-year-old, glove-first veteran, was acquired in the winter to aid the groups depth. Only Garrett Jones (three of 108) had a smaller percentage of GDPs with a minimum of 100 opportunities. Cubs Prospect Notes: Canario's Ranking, Brown's Pitches, Alcntara's There are not enough players here to draw conclusions, but it might be worth looking into whether good, young defensive players age better overall as hitters. It took the Dodgers six games into their Cactus League schedule, but they finally achieved the ultimate spring . Jordan Walker has a 28.5 ft/s Sprint Speed, good for an 80% percentile red lollipop once he gets a Savant slider. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Whether he finds a home with Cleveland certainly wont depend on whether Quinn can maintain his power output. And its easy to identify the problem: Observers wish that Heyward would hit for more power. Heywards main drawback, perhaps only drawback, as a player seeking more than $100 million is his lack of power. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. But hes younger than Dustin Ackley, Jemile Weeks, Paul Goldschmidt, Dee Gordon, Jason Kipnis and a host of other rookies who had successful debuts in 2011, and hes younger than top-ranked prospects entering 2012 like Devin Mesoraco, Brett Jackson and Travis DArnaud.